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The Business Distress Index Q4 2022
The latest Business Distress Index statistics show that small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the UK are facing unprecedented levels of distress as the country grapples with a post-Covid cost-of-living crisis.
From analysing new data looking at how businesses fared during the most recent quarter (Q4 2022 October to December), the findings illustrate just how challenging the current economic climate is for UK businesses.
How many SMEs are in distress?
The total number of SMEs in significant distress in Q4 2022 is 610,405 – this is a 3.6% increase on the same period in the previous year (Q4 2021) and a 0.5% increase on the previous quarter (Q3 2022).
These figures support the rising levels of insolvency cases – namely liquidations, administrations and restructuring processes such as company voluntary arrangements.
There were 5,995 registered company insolvencies in Q4 2022, comprising 4,891 creditors’ voluntary liquidations (CVLs), 720 compulsory liquidations, 359 administrations and 25 company voluntary arrangements (CVAs). By way of comparison, the number of company insolvencies in Q4 2022 was 7% higher than in Q3 2022 and 30% higher than in Q4 2021.
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“These figures represent the perfect storm of a cost-of-living crisis at a time when businesses are still firefighting in a post-pandemic world,” comments Shaun Barton, National Online Business Operations Director at Real Business Rescue.
“A lot of businesses will have battled through the pandemic only to feel like they’ve jumped out of the chip pan and into the fire.
“The significant distress figures are the highest on record largely due to the pressures businesses have faced in the last three years, but rather than seeing these pressures ease, we’re seeing increased creditor action - through the serving of winding-up petitions and issuing of CCJs – after initially showing patience during peak Covid times. This is the key reason why we’re seeing the subsequent rise in corporate insolvencies.”
Analysing business distress figures for UK sectors
Most sectors have seen year-on-year increases in business distress. The ten most distressed sectors include Support Services - covering jobs relating to the renting and leasing of goods, vehicles and equipment (94,868 – a rise of 2%), Construction (77,007 – a rise of 2%) and Retail (38,068 – a rise of 6%). The sector facing the sharpest rise in distress is Property Services (86,892) with a 16% increase over the last 12 months, with mounting interest rates likely playing a part. There was some positive news for the Bars & Restaurants sector with 1,941 fewer businesses in distress; a 9% decrease year-on-year.
UK Regional Business distress figures
From a regional perspective, significant distress figures increased across the board with the exception of two regions – Scotland and the South West – which had very small decreases.
London felt the sharpest rise in distress with a 7% increase – a jump from 159,476 to 170,443 businesses across the capital in distress.
Q4 2022 Comparison with Post-Covid Figures
Comparing this recent quarter’s figures with the same period in 2019 – i.e. the quarter before Covid-19 hit the UK and therefore unaffected by pandemic-related effects – we can see that the economy is in a far more perilous position with an 11% rise in critical distress, a 24% rise in significant distress, a 77% rise in CCJs being served, and a 39% rise in registered insolvencies such as liquidation and administration.
“The current economic situation is chalk and cheese compared to 2019,” says Shaun Barton, National Online Business Operations Director at Real Business Rescue.
“We might not be talking about Covid-19 on a day-to-day basis anymore but it continues to impact businesses across the UK – many of which have been ‘in the red’ since the very first lockdown. The hope was that struggling firms could ultimately trade their way out of trouble but they’ve faced obstacles at every step of the way including rising interest rates, rising inflation, surging gas and electric prices, bounce back loan repayment costs, increased costs of raw materials, a shortage of skills and talent, and in many cases rising commercial rent costs too.
“It really is belt and braces time, and we would encourage company directors to be aware of early warning signs, such as reduced cash flow or falling into tax arrears, and to always take early advice wherever possible.”
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