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Brexit Fallout Will Slow UK Economy This Year and Next, Says European Commission

Written by: Keith Tully

Reviewed: Tuesday 14th February, 2017

Growth in the UK economy will slow down considerably over the course of this year and next, according to the European Commission.

Although the commission is still expecting the British economy to expand over the next two years, it is convinced that the effect of the UK’s decision to withdraw from the European Union will be to dampen growth quite significantly.

The UK economy grew by 2 per cent in 2016 but the commission expects to see that pace of growth cool to 1.5 per cent in 2017 and to 1.2 per cent in 2018.

During the same two year period, the commission’s latest forecasts are that the 19 economies that make up the Eurozone will grow steadily faster, by 1.6 per cent this year and by 1.8 per cent next year.

The commission has made clear its view that Brexit will mean “business investment is likely to be adversely affected by persisting uncertainty” and that private consumption growth will “weaken as growth in real disposable income declines”.

Speaking after publishing his organisation’s latest set of economic predications, economic and financial affairs commissioner Pierre Moscovici said the “the UK’s vote to leave the EU continues to pose significant downside risk” both for Britain and for all the Eurozone economies.

However, he also noted that the “European economy has proven resilient to the numerous shocks it has experienced over the past year”.

“Growth is holding up and unemployment and deficits are heading lower. Yet with uncertainty at such high levels, it’s more important than ever that we use all policy tools to support growth,” he said.

Earlier this month a study by Ipsos Mori revealed that a majority of bosses leading big businesses around the UK feel that the result of the Brexit referendum vote in June last year has already had some negative impact on their operations.

More than a hundred people from the country’s largest 500 companies were polled for their views on the subject and 58 per cent said the Brexit situation had taken a negative toll on their businesses in recent months.

Keith Tully

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Keith has been involved in Business Rescue since 1992, during which time he’s worked for both independent and national firms. His specialties include company restructuring matters and negotiating with HMRC on his clients behalf.

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